{"id":12657,"date":"2026-04-20T10:10:16","date_gmt":"2026-04-20T05:10:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/?p=12657"},"modified":"2026-04-20T10:10:19","modified_gmt":"2026-04-20T05:10:19","slug":"growth-remains-strong-margins-tell-a-different-story","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/growth-remains-strong-margins-tell-a-different-story\/","title":{"rendered":"Growth Remains Strong, Margins Tell a Different Story"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><strong>Ticker:<\/strong> Meezan Bank Limited <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/tag\/mebl\/\" data-type=\"post_tag\" data-id=\"28\">MEBL<\/a><\/strong><br><strong>Analyst Briefing Date: <\/strong>April 7, 2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This article summarizes <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/tag\/mebl\/\" data-type=\"post_tag\" data-id=\"28\">Meezan Bank Limited MEBL<\/a><\/strong>&#8216;s corporate briefing, focusing on CY25 earnings performance, deposit and investment growth, and forward outlook on cost efficiency, regulatory changes, and interest rate expectations. It highlights the bank\u2019s ability to sustain payouts despite income compression and evolving balance sheet dynamics.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What did the management say?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Management indicated a deposit growth target of <strong>20\u201325%<\/strong> for CY26, building on strong expansion in the current year. They expect the cost-to-income ratio to stabilise at around <strong>35%<\/strong>, reflecting a normalisation of current efficiency levels. The bank continues to maintain a strong focus on individual and sole proprietor deposits, which account for <strong>71%<\/strong> of the total base. They also highlighted potential regulatory changes related to the reclassification of the banking book to the trading book, which may reduce the capital adequacy ratio by<strong> 1\u20131.5%<\/strong>. Management intends to maintain sufficient capital buffers to manage this impact while supporting growth. Additionally, they believe the policy rate has bottomed out and expect a possible <strong>1\u20132%<\/strong> increase in the upcoming Monetary Policy Committee decision.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What did the numbers say?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Meezan Bank<\/strong> reported consolidated <strong>EPS<\/strong> of PKR 50.16 for CY25, down <strong>12%<\/strong> year on year, while total income declined<strong> 9%<\/strong> to PKR 294,035 million. Net mark-up income fell <strong>12%<\/strong>, although non-mark-up income increased<strong> 18%<\/strong>, partially offsetting the decline. Profit before tax decreased <strong>11%<\/strong> to PKR 200,299 million, and profit after taxation also declined <strong>11%<\/strong> to PKR 92,178 million. Despite the earnings decline, the bank maintained its dividend at PKR 28 per share. Operating expenses increased <strong>5%<\/strong>, leading to a cost-to-income ratio of <strong>30%<\/strong> compared to <strong>27%<\/strong> last year. Deposits grew<strong> 28%<\/strong> to PKR 3.3 trillion, while total investments increased <strong>39%<\/strong> to PKR 2.6 trillion, with <strong>73%<\/strong> allocated to variable rate instruments and <strong>27%<\/strong> to fixed rate instruments.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What should investors expect going forward?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Investors should expect continued balance sheet growth driven by targeted deposit expansion of <strong>20\u201325%<\/strong> and a strong retail deposit mix. The investment portfolio remains tilted toward variable rate instruments, which may influence income sensitivity depending on rate movements. Fixed rate exposure carries a weighted average yield of<strong> 11.5% <\/strong>with a duration of 1.6 years. Cost efficiency is expected to moderate, with the cost-to-income ratio stabilizing closer to <strong>35%<\/strong>. Capital adequacy, currently at<strong> 19.2%<\/strong>, may face pressure from regulatory changes, although management plans to maintain buffers. Interest rate expectations of a potential<strong> 1\u20132% <\/strong>hike could shape future income trends, while dividend continuity will depend on earnings stability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What are analysts saying about MEBL stock?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>According to the KSEStocks Database, <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/tag\/mebl\/\" data-type=\"post_tag\" data-id=\"28\">MEBL<\/a><\/strong> is covered by 12 analysts in Pakistan and they have an average price rating of <strong>PKR 546<\/strong>. This average price target suggests an upside of <strong>9.9%<\/strong> from the <strong>last close of PKR 497.11<\/strong>. According to <strong>EPS estimates<\/strong> from 17 different brokers, <strong>MEBL<\/strong> has an average 2026 <strong>EPS expectation<\/strong> of <strong>48.7<\/strong>. This suggests the stock is now trading at a <strong>forward PE of 10.3<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Why do we compile research firms&#8217; forecasts? Broker research is fragmented across different houses. Compiling it in one place helps investors see consensus, identify divergence, and think independently rather than relying on a single view.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Ticker: Meezan Bank Limited MEBLAnalyst Briefing Date: April 7, 2026 This article summarizes Meezan Bank Limited MEBL&#8216;s corporate briefing, focusing on CY25 earnings performance, deposit and investment growth, and forward outlook on cost efficiency, regulatory changes, and interest rate expectations. It highlights the bank\u2019s ability to sustain payouts despite income compression and evolving balance sheet [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":6909,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[28],"class_list":["post-12657","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-psx-blog","tag-mebl"],"featured_image_src":{"landsacpe":["https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/MEBL-STOCK-PSX-1140x445.png",1140,445,true],"list":["https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/MEBL-STOCK-PSX-463x348.png",463,348,true],"medium":["https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/MEBL-STOCK-PSX-300x188.png",300,188,true],"full":["https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/MEBL-STOCK-PSX.png",1920,1200,false]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12657","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12657"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12657\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":12658,"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12657\/revisions\/12658"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/6909"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12657"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12657"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12657"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}