{"id":10136,"date":"2025-07-24T00:04:21","date_gmt":"2025-07-23T19:04:21","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/?p=10136"},"modified":"2025-08-05T16:38:13","modified_gmt":"2025-08-05T11:38:13","slug":"why-psx-stock-splits-fool-investors-the-psychology-behind-the-price","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/why-psx-stock-splits-fool-investors-the-psychology-behind-the-price\/","title":{"rendered":"Why PSX stock splits fool investors: The psychology behind the price"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>Stock splits have suddenly become the talk of the town on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). Retail investors are buzzing, prices are adjusting, and chai is being spilled in every group chat.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But what exactly <em>is<\/em> a stock split? And more importantly\u2014should you be excited?<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">What Just Happened?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Over the past few weeks, several well-known companies like <strong>Lucky Cement (LUCK), Thatha Cement (THCCL) and United Bank Limited (UBL)<\/strong> have announced stock splits.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This means shareholders now own more shares than they did before. But here\u2019s the catch: <strong>the total value of your holdings hasn\u2019t changed.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Wait, what?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How a Stock Split Works<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Take UBL as an example. It recently announced a <strong>2-for-1 stock split<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you had 100 shares before, you now have 200. But the price per share is halved. So:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Before split<\/strong>: 100 shares \u00d7 Rs. 500 = Rs. 50,000<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>After split<\/strong>: 200 shares \u00d7 Rs. 250 = Rs. 50,000<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Same value. Just sliced differently.<\/strong><br>Think of it like cutting a cake into more pieces, you don\u2019t get more cake \ud83c\udf70, just more slices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This applies to everyone\u2014from a retail investor holding 1 share to a fund like Providus Capital, which held 51 million UBL shares (now 102 million after the split). No one made any extra money from the split alone.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Then Why Bother Splitting at All?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Great question. If nothing changes in value, <strong>why do companies even announce stock splits?<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The answer lies in <strong>human psychology<\/strong> and <strong>market behavior.<\/strong> Let\u2019s walk through three key biases that splits play into:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1. Price Tag Bias<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>We naturally react to prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>A Rs. 500 share <em>feels<\/em> expensive.<br>A Rs. 250 share <em>feels<\/em> cheap\u2014even if it\u2019s the same company, same market cap, same value.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is called <strong>anchoring bias<\/strong>\u2014we anchor to the number instead of analyzing what it&#8217;s really worth.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">2. Low Price Lottery Bias<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>A Rs. 1,500 stock like LUCK doesn\u2019t <em>feel<\/em> like it can go to Rs. 15,000. That sounds ridiculous.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But a Rs. 15 stock going to Rs. 150? That feels possible\u2014even if it\u2019s the same 10x return.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Stock splits make prices lower, and our brains wrongly assume they become \u201cmore likely to grow.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">3. Comparison Bias<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>After MARI\u2019s bonus issue, its price dropped to Rs. 400\u2014<strong>same as POL<\/strong>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Suddenly people started comparing them, as if they were equals. But MARI\u2019s market cap was 4x higher.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Different companies, different sectors, different fundamentals\u2014just similar-looking prices.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">How Splits Help Small Investors<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Another reason for splitting: <strong>affordability for retail portfolios.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Imagine entering the PSX with Rs. 10,000. If LUCK trades at Rs. 1,700, you can barely buy one share. That\u2019s 17% of your entire portfolio!<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Splits help here\u2014not by making the stock cheaper <em>in value<\/em> but by making it easier to manage portfolio allocation.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is even more obvious in cases like:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>RMPL at Rs. 10,000<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>UPFL at Rs. 20,000<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>To keep just <em>one share<\/em> of UPFL at 10% of your portfolio, you\u2019d need Rs. 200,000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Too expensive for most investors. A stock split would lower the entry price, making it easier to include in a diversified portfolio.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In the US, stock splits often lead to increased trading and even price rallies. That\u2019s because:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ol class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Options trading<\/strong> becomes more affordable post-split (since contract sizes are fixed at 100 shares).<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li><strong>Index inclusion<\/strong> depends on price levels. For example, Apple did a 7-for-1 split in 2014 just to qualify for the <strong>Dow Jones<\/strong>, a price-weighted index.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n\n\n\n<p>But <strong>none of these apply to PSX.<\/strong><br>We don\u2019t have options trading. Our indices aren\u2019t price-weighted. So expecting UBL or LUCK to \u201cgo back to Rs. 500 or 1,700\u201d after a split is wishful thinking.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Do Big Investors Benefit from Splits?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Here&#8217;s a more controversial point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Stock splits can drive retail excitement. When prices appear lower, small investors start buying. This <strong>supports the stock price<\/strong>, giving large shareholders:<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>More <strong>liquidity<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>Less <strong>downside risk<\/strong><\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>A smoother <strong>exit path<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>It\u2019s not necessarily bad\u2014but it\u2019s worth knowing <em>who really benefits<\/em> when you see a split.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">The Bottom Line<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Stock splits don\u2019t increase value.<br>They don\u2019t give you more money.<br>They just <strong>change the number of slices in the same pie.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>So when the next stock split gets announced on PSX, don\u2019t get carried away by cheap-looking prices or herd behavior.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Ask yourself: Has anything really changed?<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Stock splits have suddenly become the talk of the town on the Pakistan Stock Exchange (PSX). Retail investors are buzzing, prices are adjusting, and chai is being spilled in every group chat.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":10927,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4,52],"tags":[10,264,181],"class_list":["post-10136","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-learning","category-resources","tag-luck","tag-thccl","tag-ubl"],"featured_image_src":{"landsacpe":["https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/stock-split-791x445.png",791,445,true],"list":["https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/stock-split-463x348.png",463,348,true],"medium":["https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/stock-split-300x300.png",300,300,true],"full":["https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/07\/stock-split.png",791,789,false]},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10136","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=10136"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10136\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":10192,"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/10136\/revisions\/10192"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/10927"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=10136"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=10136"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ksestocks.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=10136"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}