The National Accounts Committee (NAC) has released GDP estimates for the third quarter of FY24, indicating a growth of 2.09%, a significant improvement from the -0.42% recorded in 3QFY23. The NAC also provided provisional figures for the entire fiscal year FY24, suggesting a growth rate of 2.38%, closely aligning with Topline Research’s estimate of 2.5%.
Agriculture showed a strong performance with a growth of 3.94%. All components of the sector contributed positively:
Despite a decline in the construction industry (-15.75%), the industrial sector grew by 3.84%, driven by:
The services sector grew by 0.83%, showing a mixed trend among its components:
The NAC revised the GDP growth rates for the first and second quarters of FY24 upwards:
These revisions bring the average GDP growth for the first nine months of FY24 to 2.2%, in line with expectations and higher than Bloomberg’s survey estimate of 1.8%.
Sector | 1QFY24 (Revised) | 2QFY24 (Revised) | 3QFY24 (Actual) | FY24 (Provisional) | FY24 Topline (Estimated) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Agriculture | 8.59% | 5.83% | 3.94% | 6.25% | 5.10% |
Industrial | -0.44% | 0.09% | 3.84% | 1.21% | 2.60% |
Services | 2.02% | 0.75% | 0.83% | 1.21% | 1.40% |
GDP | 2.71% | 1.79% | 2.09% | 2.38% | 2.50% |
Disclaimer:
The information in this article is based on research by Topline Research. All efforts have been made to ensure the data represented in this article is as per the research report. This report should not be considered investment advice. Readers are encouraged to consult a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
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